Bet on the winning side
when history happens.

// ABOUT

What Matchpoly is.

Matchpoly is an automated +EV trading platform built for Polymarket sports markets. It runs four independent strategies simultaneously: benchmarking Polymarket prices against Pinnacle's sharp lines, catching mathematical impossibilities in outcome pricing, mirroring the on-chain positions of verified profitable wallets, and trading the lag between breaking news and market reaction.

The thesis is straightforward. Polymarket sports markets are priced by retail participants — fans and casual traders making their best guesses. Pinnacle, the sharpest sportsbook in the world, is priced by professionals. On-chain whales have months of auditable track records on the blockchain. The gap between where those groups price the same event is where Matchpoly operates.

Risk management is built into the architecture. Positions are sized at one-quarter of the Kelly Criterion, no single market receives more than 5% of capital, and hard drawdown limits halt trading automatically if daily or weekly losses breach defined thresholds.

// MANIFESTO

Why Matchpoly exists.

If you can beat a sportsbook consistently, they will limit you. This is not a theory — it's the standard business practice of every major book in the legal market. Win too often, and your maximum bet drops from $500 to $20. Win after that, and they close your account. The bettors who actually understand what they're doing — the ones who put in the work to model outcomes correctly — are precisely the ones the industry has no room for.

Polymarket is a different structure entirely. It's a prediction market built on a public blockchain. There are no accounts to limit, no lines manager reviewing your activity, no risk department deciding you're too sharp to keep. The orderbook is public, the trades are public, and the contract terms are enforced by code. Anyone can take the other side of any position at any size. That's not a feature — it's the architecture.

But Polymarket has its own problem. The prices are set by whoever shows up. And mostly, what shows up is retail money: fans with opinions, casual participants making educated guesses. Pinnacle's lines — shaped by years of professional bettor flow — sit at a meaningfully different probability estimate on almost every major game. On-chain, there are wallets with documented, verifiable winning records that have already figured out the gap. The information is public. The edge is real. What's missing is the infrastructure to act on it faster than it closes.

Matchpoly is that infrastructure. It runs continuously, checks the lines as they update, executes when the math says to, and stays disciplined when it doesn't. It's for the bettors who got limited and had nowhere left to go. For the ones who looked at Polymarket's prices and immediately saw what was wrong with them. For the ones who refuse to be late. For the ones who want to be on the right side when history happens.

// FAQ

Common questions.

What is Matchpoly?

An automated trading system for Polymarket sports markets. It identifies pricing gaps between Polymarket and sharp sportsbooks, executes positions across four independent strategies, and manages risk automatically. The Overview in /docs covers the full breakdown.

Who is Matchpoly for?

Bettors who understand edges and want systematic execution. It's not a picks service — it's infrastructure for people who already know what +EV means and want a tool that acts on it at scale, without emotion and without hesitation.

How does the bot actually make money?

By finding markets where Polymarket's price is meaningfully wrong relative to sharp sportsbook consensus, mathematical errors in linked outcome pricing, high-confidence on-chain whale signals, or breaking news the market hasn't priced yet. Each source has a minimum edge threshold before any capital is deployed.

Is this legal?

Yes. Polymarket is a regulated prediction market. Trading on it is legal in most jurisdictions and involves no sportsbook relationship that could result in account restriction.

What's the minimum capital required?

Details are shared with early access users. Capital thresholds are set to make the strategies meaningful without overconcentrating risk in thin markets.

How is my money protected?

Capital is held in USDC on the Polygon blockchain in a wallet you control. Matchpoly operates via signed transactions — there's no intermediary custody. Position limits and drawdown controls are enforced before any order is placed.

What happens if the bot loses?

Losses are part of any probabilistic system. Hard drawdown limits — 5% daily, 12% weekly — automatically halt trading if losses exceed thresholds. See Risk Management for the full structure.

Which sports does it cover?

NFL, NBA, MLB, UFC, and major soccer leagues. Coverage is determined by active Polymarket volume and available sharp sportsbook matches. New markets are discovered automatically.

When does Matchpoly launch?

Early access is open now. Sign up on this page to be added to the list. Access is prioritized by sign-up order.

How do I get access?

Click the sign-up button at the top of this page. That's it.